How Aave (AAVE) reacts to macro news
AAVE moves 2.8× a normal hour after FOMC; 43% of releases give it a top-10% hour.
Aave (AAVE) has data for 826 scheduled macro releases across 10 event types. The biggest typical +1h move (median size, either direction) came after US Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±1.64%, 2.4× a normal hour), the smallest after UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±0.52%, 0.8× a normal hour).
Next release that moves AAVE: Bank of England rate decision,
Data: Kraken. AAVE prices are Kraken spot AAVE/USD 5-minute and hourly candles from 1 Jan 2021 (when Kraken trading in AAVE became continuous). One exchange for the whole history, so no figures mix sources. Sources.
Every event, ranked by how much it moves AAVE
Ranked by the move multiple: the median move after a release vs a matched normal hour. "Top-10%" is how often a release gives a move bigger than 90% of normal ones (10% would be no different from normal). Impact is the event's site-wide rating (see methodology). Typical move sizes by window follow (median absolute move, either direction). Click a column to sort; click an event for every release.
| Event | × normal | Top-10% | Impact | +5m | +1h | +4h | +24h | % up +1h | ReleasesRel. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOMC rate decision | 2.8× | 43% | High | 0.75% | 1.35% | 2.41% | 4.66% | 70% | 47 |
| US Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 2.4× | 32% | High | 0.84% | 1.64% | 2.09% | 3.40% | 61% | 69 |
| US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) | 1.8× | 12% | High | 0.60% | 0.84% | 2.10% | 2.48% | 46% | 69 |
| Bank of England rate decision | 1.7× | 22% | Low | 0.23% | 0.87% | 1.61% | 3.36% | 46% | 46 |
| US Producer Price Index (PPI) | 1.6× | 7% | Medium | 0.35% | 0.68% | 1.98% | 3.44% | 55% | 69 |
| US retail sales | 1.4× | 10% | Low | 0.23% | 0.75% | 1.57% | 3.08% | 59% | 68 |
| US initial jobless claims | 1.2× | 6% | Medium | 0.25% | 0.60% | 1.60% | 3.36% | 50% | 297 |
| US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays) | 0.9× | 18% | Medium | 0.42% | 0.75% | 1.65% | 2.63% | 46% | 68 |
| US GDP (advance estimate) | 0.8× | 12% | Medium | 0.44% | 1.38% | 1.95% | 2.04% | 54% | 24 |
| UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 0.8× | 6% | Low | 0.11% | 0.52% | 1.14% | 2.83% | 54% | 69 |
Past releases, not a forecast. Typical sizes hide big differences between individual releases; open an event to see them all.
Recaps where AAVE moved most
Event recaps ranked by the size of AAVE's first-hour move. All event recaps →
- US payrolls (NFP) · 1 Apr 2022 +11.46%
- US CPI · 11 May 2022 -10.62%
- US CPI · 13 Jul 2022 -9.02%
- US CPI · 10 Aug 2022 +8.27%
- US CPI · 10 Nov 2022 +7.76%