How AUD/USD reacts to macro news
AUD/USD moves 7.7× a normal hour after FOMC; 81% of releases give it a top-10% hour.
AUD/USD has data for 826 scheduled macro releases across 10 event types. The biggest typical +1h move (median size, either direction) came after FOMC rate decision (±0.32%, 7.7× a normal hour), the smallest after UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±0.07%, 0.9× a normal hour).
Next release that moves AUD/USD: Bank of England rate decision,
Smaller sample: our AUD/USD history starts on 1 Jan 2021, when Kraken trading in AUD/USD became continuous, so it covers fewer releases than the coins we track from 2017.
Currency moves are shown in pips as well as %. A pip is 0.0001 of the price; pip figures use the latest AUD/USD price, so they are a guide to size, not exact for older releases.
Data: Kraken. AUD/USD prices are Kraken spot AUD/USD 5-minute and hourly candles from 1 Jan 2021 (when Kraken trading in AUD/USD became continuous). One exchange for the whole history, so no figures mix sources. Sources.
Every event, ranked by how much it moves AUD/USD
Ranked by the move multiple: the median move after a release vs a matched normal hour. "Top-10%" is how often a release gives a move bigger than 90% of normal ones (10% would be no different from normal). Impact is the event's site-wide rating (see methodology). Typical move sizes by window follow (median absolute move, either direction). Click a column to sort; click an event for every release.
| Event | × normal | Top-10% | Impact | +5m | +1h | +4h | +24h | % up +1h | ReleasesRel. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOMC rate decision | 7.7× | 81% | High | 0.14% · 10 pips | 0.32% · 22 pips | 0.43% · 31 pips | 0.74% · 52 pips | 60% | 47 |
| US Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 3.7× | 64% | High | 0.20% · 14 pips | 0.31% · 22 pips | 0.34% · 24 pips | 0.50% · 35 pips | 65% | 69 |
| US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) | 3.2× | 55% | High | 0.21% · 15 pips | 0.23% · 16 pips | 0.40% · 28 pips | 0.35% · 25 pips | 57% | 69 |
| US GDP (advance estimate) | 1.9× | 25% | Medium | 0.06% · 4 pips | 0.14% · 10 pips | 0.23% · 16 pips | 0.46% · 33 pips | 46% | 24 |
| US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays) | 1.6× | 16% | Medium | 0.06% · 4 pips | 0.11% · 8 pips | 0.21% · 15 pips | 0.27% · 19 pips | 53% | 68 |
| US Producer Price Index (PPI) | 1.6× | 28% | Medium | 0.07% · 5 pips | 0.12% · 9 pips | 0.22% · 15 pips | 0.38% · 27 pips | 48% | 69 |
| US initial jobless claims | 1.5× | 20% | Medium | 0.04% · 3 pips | 0.11% · 8 pips | 0.23% · 16 pips | 0.39% · 28 pips | 52% | 297 |
| US retail sales | 1.2× | 19% | Low | 0.06% · 4 pips | 0.11% · 8 pips | 0.20% · 14 pips | 0.44% · 31 pips | 49% | 68 |
| UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 0.9× | 10% | Low | 0.03% · 2 pips | 0.07% · 5 pips | 0.16% · 11 pips | 0.29% · 21 pips | 45% | 69 |
| Bank of England rate decision | 0.9× | 15% | Low | 0.03% · 2 pips | 0.10% · 7 pips | 0.33% · 23 pips | 0.45% · 31 pips | 48% | 46 |
Past releases, not a forecast. Typical sizes hide big differences between individual releases; open an event to see them all.
Recaps where AUD/USD moved most
Event recaps ranked by the size of AUD/USD's first-hour move. All event recaps →
- US CPI · 10 Nov 2022 +1.95%
- US CPI · 13 Sep 2022 -1.54%
- US CPI · 13 Oct 2022 -1.37%
- US CPI · 13 Dec 2022 +1.28%
- US payrolls (NFP) · 4 Nov 2022 +1.26%