How Avalanche (AVAX) reacts to macro news
AVAX moves 3.4× a normal hour after US CPI; 51% of releases give it a top-10% hour.
Avalanche (AVAX) has data for 682 scheduled macro releases across 10 event types. The biggest typical +1h move (median size, either direction) came after US Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±1.65%, 3.4× a normal hour), the smallest after Bank of England rate decision (±0.41%, 1.0× a normal hour).
Next release that moves AVAX: Bank of England rate decision,
Data: Kraken. AVAX prices are Kraken spot AVAX/USD 5-minute and hourly candles from 1 Jan 2022 (when Kraken trading in AVAX became continuous). One exchange for the whole history, so no figures mix sources. Sources.
Every event, ranked by how much it moves AVAX
Ranked by the move multiple: the median move after a release vs a matched normal hour. "Top-10%" is how often a release gives a move bigger than 90% of normal ones (10% would be no different from normal). Impact is the event's site-wide rating (see methodology). Typical move sizes by window follow (median absolute move, either direction). Click a column to sort; click an event for every release.
| Event | × normal | Top-10% | Impact | +5m | +1h | +4h | +24h | % up +1h | ReleasesRel. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 3.4× | 51% | High | 1.03% | 1.65% | 2.37% | 3.00% | 60% | 57 |
| FOMC rate decision | 2.9× | 38% | High | 0.76% | 1.31% | 2.12% | 5.12% | 67% | 39 |
| US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) | 2.0× | 21% | High | 0.61% | 0.83% | 1.31% | 2.78% | 46% | 57 |
| US GDP (advance estimate) | 1.5× | 25% | Medium | 0.25% | 0.84% | 0.87% | 1.67% | 35% | 20 |
| US Producer Price Index (PPI) | 1.3× | 16% | Medium | 0.41% | 0.63% | 1.88% | 3.10% | 53% | 57 |
| US retail sales | 1.2× | 14% | Low | 0.23% | 0.55% | 1.23% | 2.98% | 62% | 56 |
| UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 1.2× | 12% | Low | 0.16% | 0.51% | 0.89% | 2.77% | 47% | 57 |
| US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays) | 1.2× | 18% | Medium | 0.38% | 0.56% | 1.51% | 2.10% | 48% | 56 |
| US initial jobless claims | 1.1× | 12% | Medium | 0.23% | 0.55% | 1.26% | 2.96% | 49% | 245 |
| Bank of England rate decision | 1.0× | 13% | Low | 0.24% | 0.41% | 1.46% | 3.15% | 42% | 38 |
Past releases, not a forecast. Typical sizes hide big differences between individual releases; open an event to see them all.
Recaps where AVAX moved most
Event recaps ranked by the size of AVAX's first-hour move. All event recaps →
- US CPI · 11 May 2022 -13.22%
- US CPI · 13 Sep 2022 -8.15%
- FOMC · 27 Jul 2022 +7.69%
- US CPI · 10 Nov 2022 +7.27%
- FOMC · 20 Mar 2024 +6.15%