How Bittensor (TAO) reacts to macro news
Bittensor (TAO) has data for 109 scheduled macro releases across 10 event types.
Next release that moves TAO: FOMC rate decision,
Small sample: TAO has only traded on Bitstamp since 21 Jan 2026, so every figure here rests on a handful of releases.
Thin trading: TAO trades thinly on Bitstamp. In 60 of 109 releases (55%) its price did not change at all by +1h, so these figures understate how much TAO moves on busier exchanges.
Every event, ranked by how much it moves TAO
Ranked by the move multiple: the median move after a release vs a matched normal hour. "Top-10%" is how often a release gives a move bigger than 90% of normal ones (10% would be no different from normal). Impact is the event's site-wide rating (see methodology). Typical move sizes by window follow (median absolute move, either direction). Click a column to sort; click an event for every release.
| Event | × normal | Top-10% | Impact | +5m | +1h | +4h | +24h | % up +1h | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Consumer Price Index (CPI) small n | – | – | High | 0.00% | 0.92% | 2.41% | 2.60% | 33% | 9 |
| US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) small n | – | – | High | 0.00% | 0.80% | 0.48% | 2.08% | 33% | 9 |
| US Producer Price Index (PPI) small n | – | – | Medium | 0.20% | 0.46% | 1.26% | 2.54% | 20% | 10 |
| FOMC rate decision small n | – | – | High | 0.00% | 0.11% | 2.18% | 6.31% | 67% | 6 |
| UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) small n | – | – | Low | 0.00% | 0.11% | 1.14% | 3.11% | 22% | 9 |
| US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays) small n | – | – | Medium | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.37% | 2.31% | 11% | 9 |
| US GDP (advance estimate) small n | – | – | Medium | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.37% | 2.31% | 0% | 3 |
| US retail sales small n | – | – | Low | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.24% | 4.86% | 12% | 8 |
| US initial jobless claims | – | – | Low | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.36% | 3.44% | 22% | 40 |
| Bank of England rate decision small n | – | – | Low | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.52% | 6.20% | 33% | 6 |
Past releases, not a forecast. Typical sizes hide big differences between individual releases; open an event to see them all.
Recaps where TAO moved most
Event recaps ranked by the size of TAO's first-hour move. All event recaps →
- US payrolls (NFP) · 6 Mar 2026 -3.45%
- US CPI · 14 Oct 2026 -2.61%
- US payrolls (NFP) · 4 Sep 2026 -2.35%
- US CPI · 14 Jul 2026 +2.07%
- US payrolls (NFP) · 8 May 2026 -1.42%