Macro Rumble

How Dogecoin reacts to macro news

DOGE moves 2.3× a normal hour after FOMC; 30% of releases give it a top-10% hour.

n=30 releases since 2023 · thin trading inflates this · 2022+ only, misses earlier cycles · median move vs matched normal hours

Dogecoin has data for 537 scheduled macro releases across 10 event types. The biggest typical +1h move (median size, either direction) came after US Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±0.97%, 2.0× a normal hour), the smallest after UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±0.27%, 1.2× a normal hour).

Next release that moves DOGE: FOMC rate decision,

Rows marked small n have fewer than 20 releases.

How much bigger the DOGE move is after each event than in a normal hour (median vs matched quiet hours; 1× = no different). Faded bars are not clearly above noise. Tap a bar for every release.

Every event, ranked by how much it moves DOGE

Ranked by the move multiple: the median move after a release vs a matched normal hour. "Top-10%" is how often a release gives a move bigger than 90% of normal ones (10% would be no different from normal). Impact is the event's site-wide rating (see methodology). Typical move sizes by window follow (median absolute move, either direction). Click a column to sort; click an event for every release.

Event× normalTop-10%Impact+5m+1h+4h+24h% up +1hn
FOMC rate decision2.3×30%High0.59%0.92%1.93%3.40%60%30
US Consumer Price Index (CPI)2.0×22%High0.67%0.97%1.69%2.07%62%45
US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)1.6×22%High0.32%0.54%1.31%2.36%44%45
Bank of England rate decision1.3×13%Low0.10%0.31%1.28%2.59%40%30
US initial jobless claims1.2×10%Low0.15%0.45%1.15%2.24%43%194
UK Consumer Price Index (CPI)1.2×7%Low0.05%0.27%0.61%2.16%58%45
US retail sales1.1×16%Low0.16%0.55%0.94%1.91%45%44
US GDP (advance estimate) small n1.1×13%Medium0.23%0.44%0.69%2.12%7%15
US Producer Price Index (PPI)1.0×9%Medium0.26%0.45%1.43%2.31%38%45
US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays)0.9×19%Medium0.29%0.43%1.30%2.16%39%44

Past releases, not a forecast. Typical sizes hide big differences between individual releases; open an event to see them all.

Backtest DOGE rules →DOGE seasonality →

Recaps where DOGE moved most

Event recaps ranked by the size of DOGE's first-hour move. All event recaps →

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