How Monero (XMR) reacts to macro news
XMR barely notices US PPI: 1.3× a normal hour, no clearer than noise.
Monero (XMR) has data for 1,346 scheduled macro releases across 10 event types. The biggest typical +1h move (median size, either direction) came after US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) (±0.58%, 1.1× a normal hour), the smallest after UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±0.45%, 1.2× a normal hour).
Next release that moves XMR: FOMC rate decision,
Data: Kraken. XMR prices are Kraken spot XMR/USD 5-minute and hourly candles from 1 May 2017 (when Kraken trading in XMR became continuous). One exchange for the whole history, so no figures mix sources. Kraken's outage from 11 to 13 Jan 2018 is left as a gap, so the releases in it have no figures. Sources.
Every event, ranked by how much it moves XMR
Ranked by the move multiple: the median move after a release vs a matched normal hour. "Top-10%" is how often a release gives a move bigger than 90% of normal ones (10% would be no different from normal). Impact is the event's site-wide rating (see methodology). Typical move sizes by window follow (median absolute move, either direction). Click a column to sort; click an event for every release.
| Event | × normal | Top-10% | Impact | +5m | +1h | +4h | +24h | % up +1h | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Producer Price Index (PPI) | 1.3× | 7% | Medium | 0.16% | 0.50% | 1.10% | 2.24% | 54% | 112 |
| US Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 1.2× | 15% | High | 0.25% | 0.57% | 1.07% | 2.07% | 50% | 112 |
| US retail sales | 1.2× | 11% | Low | 0.18% | 0.58% | 1.19% | 2.42% | 45% | 110 |
| UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 1.2× | 10% | Low | 0.11% | 0.45% | 0.79% | 1.77% | 46% | 113 |
| US initial jobless claims | 1.1× | 10% | Medium | 0.17% | 0.49% | 1.03% | 2.13% | 52% | 487 |
| US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) | 1.1× | 18% | High | 0.25% | 0.58% | 0.97% | 1.69% | 51% | 113 |
| FOMC rate decision | 1.1× | 17% | High | 0.34% | 0.55% | 1.14% | 2.84% | 55% | 75 |
| US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays) | 1.1× | 14% | Medium | 0.14% | 0.46% | 1.00% | 1.95% | 50% | 111 |
| Bank of England rate decision | 1.0× | 9% | Low | 0.15% | 0.55% | 0.96% | 2.13% | 50% | 76 |
| US GDP (advance estimate) | 0.7× | 3% | Medium | 0.33% | 0.57% | 0.78% | 1.77% | 43% | 37 |
Past releases, not a forecast. Typical sizes hide big differences between individual releases; open an event to see them all.
Recaps where XMR moved most
Event recaps ranked by the size of XMR's first-hour move. All event recaps →
- FOMC · 15 Mar 2020 +11.82%
- FOMC · 23 Mar 2020 +7.06%
- US CPI · 13 Jul 2022 -5.68%
- US CPI · 10 Nov 2022 +5.47%
- US CPI · 14 Sep 2017 -5.39%