Macro Rumble

How Pepe (PEPE) reacts to macro news

PEPE moves 2.9× a normal hour after US CPI; 36% of releases give it a top-10% hour.

33 releases since 2024 · 2022+ only, misses earlier cycles · median move vs matched normal hours

Pepe (PEPE) has data for 394 scheduled macro releases across 10 event types. The biggest typical +1h move (median size, either direction) came after US Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±2.00%, 2.9× a normal hour), the smallest after UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±0.41%, 0.8× a normal hour).

Next release that moves PEPE: Bank of England rate decision,

Data: Kraken. PEPE prices are Kraken spot PEPE/USD 5-minute and hourly candles from 1 Jan 2024 (when Kraken trading in PEPE became continuous). One exchange for the whole history, so no figures mix sources. Sources.

Rows marked small n have fewer than 20 releases.

How much bigger the PEPE move is after each event than in a normal hour (median vs matched quiet hours; 1× = no different). Faded bars are not clearly above noise. Tap a bar for every release.

Every event, ranked by how much it moves PEPE

Ranked by the move multiple: the median move after a release vs a matched normal hour. "Top-10%" is how often a release gives a move bigger than 90% of normal ones (10% would be no different from normal). Impact is the event's site-wide rating (see methodology). Typical move sizes by window follow (median absolute move, either direction). Click a column to sort; click an event for every release.

Event× normalTop-10%Impact+5m+1h+4h+24h% up +1hReleasesRel.
US Consumer Price Index (CPI)2.9×36%High1.21%2.00%2.70%3.98%58%33
FOMC rate decision2.1×26%High0.84%1.06%1.75%7.28%65%23
US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)1.8×27%High0.87%1.08%1.93%3.60%58%33
US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays)1.5×19%Medium0.51%0.83%2.08%3.19%56%32
US Producer Price Index (PPI)1.3×6%Medium0.59%0.80%1.76%3.40%45%33
US GDP (advance estimate) small n1.2×25%Medium0.27%0.69%1.60%1.89%25%12
US initial jobless claims1.2×13%Medium0.38%0.67%1.69%3.84%48%141
US retail sales1.1×12%Low0.26%0.76%1.14%2.43%56%32
Bank of England rate decision1.0×9%Low0.14%0.57%2.08%3.77%45%22
UK Consumer Price Index (CPI)0.8×9%Low0.17%0.41%1.28%3.28%64%33

Past releases, not a forecast. Typical sizes hide big differences between individual releases; open an event to see them all.

Backtest PEPE rules →PEPE seasonality →

Recaps where PEPE moved most

Event recaps ranked by the size of PEPE's first-hour move. All event recaps →

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