How Polkadot (DOT) reacts to macro news
DOT moves 3.0× a normal hour after FOMC; 40% of releases give it a top-10% hour.
Polkadot (DOT) has data for 875 scheduled macro releases across 10 event types. The biggest typical +1h move (median size, either direction) came after US Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±1.54%, 2.0× a normal hour), the smallest after UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±0.46%, 1.1× a normal hour).
Next release that moves DOT: Bank of England rate decision,
Data: Kraken. DOT prices are Kraken spot DOT/USD 5-minute and hourly candles from 1 Sep 2020 (when Kraken trading in DOT became continuous). One exchange for the whole history, so no figures mix sources. Sources.
Every event, ranked by how much it moves DOT
Ranked by the move multiple: the median move after a release vs a matched normal hour. "Top-10%" is how often a release gives a move bigger than 90% of normal ones (10% would be no different from normal). Impact is the event's site-wide rating (see methodology). Typical move sizes by window follow (median absolute move, either direction). Click a column to sort; click an event for every release.
| Event | × normal | Top-10% | Impact | +5m | +1h | +4h | +24h | % up +1h | ReleasesRel. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOMC rate decision | 3.0× | 40% | High | 0.72% | 1.08% | 2.04% | 4.51% | 74% | 50 |
| US Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 2.0× | 33% | High | 0.77% | 1.54% | 2.33% | 3.33% | 58% | 73 |
| US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) | 1.7× | 19% | High | 0.48% | 0.74% | 1.39% | 2.22% | 51% | 73 |
| US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays) | 1.2× | 12% | Medium | 0.25% | 0.77% | 1.52% | 2.53% | 47% | 72 |
| US initial jobless claims | 1.2× | 7% | Medium | 0.21% | 0.55% | 1.30% | 2.91% | 52% | 315 |
| US retail sales | 1.1× | 19% | Low | 0.19% | 0.50% | 1.14% | 2.56% | 60% | 72 |
| US Producer Price Index (PPI) | 1.1× | 15% | Medium | 0.33% | 0.58% | 1.64% | 2.68% | 53% | 73 |
| UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 1.1× | 8% | Low | 0.15% | 0.46% | 0.84% | 2.56% | 47% | 73 |
| Bank of England rate decision | 1.1× | 14% | Low | 0.15% | 0.49% | 1.44% | 3.36% | 53% | 49 |
| US GDP (advance estimate) | 1.1× | 4% | Medium | 0.34% | 0.54% | 1.03% | 1.66% | 40% | 25 |
Past releases, not a forecast. Typical sizes hide big differences between individual releases; open an event to see them all.
Recaps where DOT moved most
Event recaps ranked by the size of DOT's first-hour move. All event recaps →
- US CPI · 11 May 2022 -11.96%
- US CPI · 13 Sep 2022 -7.44%
- US CPI · 10 Aug 2022 +7.32%
- US CPI · 13 Jul 2022 -6.74%
- FOMC · 15 Dec 2021 +6.32%