Macro Rumble

How Shiba Inu (SHIB) reacts to macro news

SHIB moves 2.5× a normal hour after FOMC; 45% of releases give it a top-10% hour.

40 releases since 2021 · thin trading inflates this · 2022+ only, misses earlier cycles · median move vs matched normal hours

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has data for 695 scheduled macro releases across 10 event types. The biggest typical +1h move (median size, either direction) came after US Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±1.43%, 2.4× a normal hour), the smallest after UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±0.33%, 0.9× a normal hour).

Next release that moves SHIB: Bank of England rate decision,

Data: Kraken. SHIB prices are Kraken spot SHIB/USD 5-minute and hourly candles from 1 Dec 2021 (when Kraken trading in SHIB became continuous). One exchange for the whole history, so no figures mix sources. Sources.

How much bigger the SHIB move is after each event than in a normal hour (median vs matched quiet hours; 1× = no different). Faded bars are not clearly above noise. Tap a bar for every release.

Every event, ranked by how much it moves SHIB

Ranked by the move multiple: the median move after a release vs a matched normal hour. "Top-10%" is how often a release gives a move bigger than 90% of normal ones (10% would be no different from normal). Impact is the event's site-wide rating (see methodology). Typical move sizes by window follow (median absolute move, either direction). Click a column to sort; click an event for every release.

Event× normalTop-10%Impact+5m+1h+4h+24h% up +1hReleasesRel.
FOMC rate decision2.5×45%High0.66%1.01%1.94%2.75%62%40
US Consumer Price Index (CPI)2.4×41%High0.89%1.43%2.32%1.94%55%58
US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)1.9×25%High0.52%0.64%1.00%1.99%48%58
US Producer Price Index (PPI)1.5×17%Medium0.37%0.54%1.37%2.49%52%58
US GDP (advance estimate)1.4×15%Medium0.29%0.52%0.70%1.95%35%20
US initial jobless claims1.2×11%Medium0.23%0.48%1.20%2.34%44%250
US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays)1.2×19%Medium0.31%0.46%1.19%1.70%40%57
US retail sales1.2×12%Low0.26%0.48%1.16%2.39%63%57
Bank of England rate decision1.0×10%Low0.13%0.40%1.26%2.70%44%39
UK Consumer Price Index (CPI)0.9×12%Low0.12%0.33%0.72%2.40%48%58

Past releases, not a forecast. Typical sizes hide big differences between individual releases; open an event to see them all.

Backtest SHIB rules →SHIB seasonality →

Recaps where SHIB moved most

Event recaps ranked by the size of SHIB's first-hour move. All event recaps →

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