Macro Rumble

How Solana reacts to macro news

SOL moves 2.3× a normal hour after FOMC; 42% of releases give it a top-10% hour.

n=33 releases since 2022 · 2022+ only, misses earlier cycles · median move vs matched normal hours

Solana has data for 586 scheduled macro releases across 10 event types. The biggest typical +1h move (median size, either direction) came after US Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±1.34%, 2.3× a normal hour), the smallest after UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±0.39%, 1.2× a normal hour).

Next release that moves SOL: FOMC rate decision,

Rows marked small n have fewer than 20 releases.

How much bigger the SOL move is after each event than in a normal hour (median vs matched quiet hours; 1× = no different). Faded bars are not clearly above noise. Tap a bar for every release.

Every event, ranked by how much it moves SOL

Ranked by the move multiple: the median move after a release vs a matched normal hour. "Top-10%" is how often a release gives a move bigger than 90% of normal ones (10% would be no different from normal). Impact is the event's site-wide rating (see methodology). Typical move sizes by window follow (median absolute move, either direction). Click a column to sort; click an event for every release.

Event× normalTop-10%Impact+5m+1h+4h+24h% up +1hn
FOMC rate decision2.3×42%High0.56%0.94%2.13%4.68%52%33
US Consumer Price Index (CPI)2.3×47%High0.84%1.34%2.06%2.93%61%49
US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)2.2×20%High0.52%0.87%1.70%2.22%51%49
US Producer Price Index (PPI)1.4×16%Medium0.31%0.64%1.10%2.58%47%49
Bank of England rate decision1.3×9%Low0.14%0.58%1.84%3.30%33%33
US initial jobless claims1.2×14%Low0.22%0.56%1.39%2.66%48%212
UK Consumer Price Index (CPI)1.2×4%Low0.10%0.39%0.80%2.61%55%49
US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays)1.2×27%Medium0.25%0.64%1.86%2.72%52%48
US GDP (advance estimate) small n1.2×31%Medium0.32%0.53%0.72%1.88%31%16
US retail sales1.1×12%Low0.21%0.70%1.38%2.78%44%48

Past releases, not a forecast. Typical sizes hide big differences between individual releases; open an event to see them all.

Backtest SOL rules →SOL seasonality →

Recaps where SOL moved most

Event recaps ranked by the size of SOL's first-hour move. All event recaps →

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