How Stellar (XLM) reacts to macro news
XLM moves 2.0× a normal hour after FOMC; 28% of releases give it a top-10% hour.
Stellar (XLM) has data for 1,230 scheduled macro releases across 10 event types. The biggest typical +1h move (median size, either direction) came after US Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±0.86%, 1.3× a normal hour), the smallest after UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±0.44%, 1.4× a normal hour).
Next release that moves XLM: FOMC rate decision,
Data: Kraken. XLM prices are Kraken spot XLM/USD 5-minute and hourly candles from 1 Mar 2018 (when Kraken trading in XLM became continuous). One exchange for the whole history, so no figures mix sources. Sources.
Every event, ranked by how much it moves XLM
Ranked by the move multiple: the median move after a release vs a matched normal hour. "Top-10%" is how often a release gives a move bigger than 90% of normal ones (10% would be no different from normal). Impact is the event's site-wide rating (see methodology). Typical move sizes by window follow (median absolute move, either direction). Click a column to sort; click an event for every release.
| Event | × normal | Top-10% | Impact | +5m | +1h | +4h | +24h | % up +1h | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOMC rate decision | 2.0× | 28% | High | 0.43% | 0.70% | 1.19% | 3.09% | 63% | 68 |
| UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 1.4× | 13% | Low | 0.09% | 0.44% | 0.85% | 2.45% | 52% | 103 |
| US Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 1.3× | 24% | High | 0.39% | 0.86% | 1.36% | 2.44% | 56% | 103 |
| US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays) | 1.1× | 12% | Medium | 0.23% | 0.52% | 1.00% | 2.38% | 42% | 101 |
| US retail sales | 1.1× | 8% | Low | 0.21% | 0.65% | 1.11% | 2.27% | 52% | 101 |
| US Producer Price Index (PPI) | 1.1× | 10% | Medium | 0.20% | 0.59% | 1.07% | 2.77% | 57% | 103 |
| US initial jobless claims | 1.1× | 9% | Medium | 0.18% | 0.48% | 1.06% | 2.47% | 48% | 445 |
| US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) | 1.0× | 5% | High | 0.32% | 0.59% | 1.03% | 1.77% | 55% | 103 |
| US GDP (advance estimate) | 1.0× | 12% | Medium | 0.18% | 0.67% | 1.08% | 1.94% | 47% | 34 |
| Bank of England rate decision | 0.9× | 4% | Low | 0.13% | 0.45% | 1.09% | 2.22% | 46% | 69 |
Past releases, not a forecast. Typical sizes hide big differences between individual releases; open an event to see them all.
Recaps where XLM moved most
Event recaps ranked by the size of XLM's first-hour move. All event recaps →
- FOMC · 15 Mar 2020 +8.70%
- FOMC · 23 Mar 2020 +5.99%
- US CPI · 10 Nov 2022 +5.49%
- US CPI · 11 May 2022 -4.97%
- US CPI · 13 Jul 2022 -4.50%