How Uniswap (UNI) reacts to macro news
UNI moves 2.7× a normal hour after FOMC; 44% of releases give it a top-10% hour.
Uniswap (UNI) has data for 847 scheduled macro releases across 10 event types. The biggest typical +1h move (median size, either direction) came after FOMC rate decision (±1.50%, 2.7× a normal hour), the smallest after US initial jobless claims (±0.61%, 1.1× a normal hour).
Next release that moves UNI: FOMC rate decision,
Data: Kraken. UNI prices are Kraken spot UNI/USD 5-minute and hourly candles from 1 Nov 2020 (when Kraken trading in UNI became continuous). One exchange for the whole history, so no figures mix sources. Sources.
Every event, ranked by how much it moves UNI
Ranked by the move multiple: the median move after a release vs a matched normal hour. "Top-10%" is how often a release gives a move bigger than 90% of normal ones (10% would be no different from normal). Impact is the event's site-wide rating (see methodology). Typical move sizes by window follow (median absolute move, either direction). Click a column to sort; click an event for every release.
| Event | × normal | Top-10% | Impact | +5m | +1h | +4h | +24h | % up +1h | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOMC rate decision | 2.7× | 44% | High | 0.67% | 1.50% | 2.28% | 3.77% | 69% | 48 |
| US Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 1.9× | 37% | High | 0.76% | 1.48% | 1.89% | 2.70% | 54% | 71 |
| US GDP (advance estimate) | 1.6× | 13% | Medium | 0.16% | 0.98% | 1.23% | 1.84% | 35% | 23 |
| Bank of England rate decision | 1.5× | 10% | Low | 0.18% | 0.66% | 1.28% | 2.14% | 42% | 48 |
| US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) | 1.4× | 28% | High | 0.58% | 0.74% | 1.48% | 2.84% | 52% | 71 |
| US retail sales | 1.4× | 17% | Low | 0.29% | 0.70% | 1.45% | 3.10% | 63% | 70 |
| UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 1.2× | 16% | Low | 0.19% | 0.64% | 0.99% | 3.63% | 54% | 71 |
| US Producer Price Index (PPI) | 1.2× | 16% | Medium | 0.40% | 0.69% | 1.71% | 2.92% | 52% | 71 |
| US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays) | 1.1× | 17% | Medium | 0.34% | 0.87% | 1.92% | 2.32% | 45% | 69 |
| US initial jobless claims | 1.1× | 10% | Medium | 0.26% | 0.61% | 1.46% | 3.18% | 49% | 305 |
Past releases, not a forecast. Typical sizes hide big differences between individual releases; open an event to see them all.
Recaps where UNI moved most
Event recaps ranked by the size of UNI's first-hour move. All event recaps →
- US payrolls (NFP) · 11 Feb 2026 +24.81%
- US CPI · 10 Nov 2022 +8.58%
- FOMC · 27 Jul 2022 +7.76%
- US CPI · 10 Aug 2022 +7.73%
- US CPI · 13 Sep 2022 -7.45%