Macro Rumble

How XRP reacts to macro news

XRP moves 2.1× a normal hour after FOMC; 30% of releases give it a top-10% hour.

n=77 releases since 2017 · median move vs matched normal hours

XRP has data for 1,396 scheduled macro releases across 10 event types. The biggest typical +1h move (median size, either direction) came after US Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±0.92%, 1.6× a normal hour), the smallest after US GDP (advance estimate) (±0.28%, 0.8× a normal hour).

Next release that moves XRP: FOMC rate decision,

How much bigger the XRP move is after each event than in a normal hour (median vs matched quiet hours; 1× = no different). Faded bars are not clearly above noise. Tap a bar for every release.

Every event, ranked by how much it moves XRP

Ranked by the move multiple: the median move after a release vs a matched normal hour. "Top-10%" is how often a release gives a move bigger than 90% of normal ones (10% would be no different from normal). Impact is the event's site-wide rating (see methodology). Typical move sizes by window follow (median absolute move, either direction). Click a column to sort; click an event for every release.

Event× normalTop-10%Impact+5m+1h+4h+24h% up +1hn
FOMC rate decision2.1×30%High0.50%0.77%1.28%2.76%61%77
US Consumer Price Index (CPI)1.6×26%High0.43%0.92%1.34%2.32%54%117
US retail sales1.1×11%Low0.16%0.52%0.97%2.44%48%115
Bank of England rate decision1.1×13%Low0.14%0.46%1.08%2.41%54%78
UK Consumer Price Index (CPI)1.1×14%Low0.14%0.43%0.79%2.56%47%117
US initial jobless claims1.0×10%Low0.18%0.46%1.10%2.48%46%505
US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays)1.0×13%Medium0.21%0.53%1.00%2.17%35%114
US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)1.0×9%High0.29%0.52%1.02%1.67%50%117
US Producer Price Index (PPI)1.0×10%Medium0.18%0.49%1.09%2.42%59%117
US GDP (advance estimate)0.8×5%Medium0.20%0.28%0.72%1.32%44%39

Past releases, not a forecast. Typical sizes hide big differences between individual releases; open an event to see them all.

Backtest XRP rules →XRP seasonality →

Recaps where XRP moved most

Event recaps ranked by the size of XRP's first-hour move. All event recaps →

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