US CPI history

Name: US CPI release history and Bitcoin's first-hour move
License: https://macrorumble.com/methodology#data-licence

Every US CPI release since 2017, with what BLS reported that morning (first print, not today's revised numbers) and how hard Bitcoin moved in the first hour. Bigger multiples mean the release hit harder than a normal hour.

Rows in bold moved BTC at least 3× a normal hour. US CPI averages and charts →

2026

Date	Result	BTC first hour1h	× normal hour
14 Oct	4.0% y/y · +0.6% m/m · core +0.3%	−1.46%	3.1×	Recap →
11 Sep	3.7% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.3%	+0.55%	1.2×
12 Aug	3.5% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.2%	−0.72%	1.5×
14 Jul	3.9% y/y · −0.4% m/m · core 0.0%	+1.58%	3.4×	Recap →
10 Jun	4.5% y/y · +0.5% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.63%	1.3×
12 May	4.1% y/y · +0.6% m/m · core +0.4%	−0.20%	0.4×
10 Apr	3.5% y/y · +0.9% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.15%	0.3×
11 Mar	2.9% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core +0.2%	+1.16%	2.5×
13 Feb	3.1% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.3%	−0.04%	0.1×
13 Jan	2.7% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.31%	0.6×

2025

Date	Result	BTC first hour1h	× normal hour
18 Dec	2.7% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.99%	1.8×
24 Oct	3.0% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.22%	0.5×
11 Sep	2.9% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.3%	−0.59%	1.3×
12 Aug	2.7% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.3%	+0.61%	1.3×
15 Jul	2.7% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.61%	1.3×
11 Jun	2.4% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.1%	+0.48%	1.0×
13 May	2.3% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.24%	0.5×
10 Apr	2.4% y/y · −0.1% m/m · core +0.1%	−0.46%	1.0×
12 Mar	2.8% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.2%	−0.06%	0.1×
12 Feb	3.0% y/y · +0.5% m/m · core +0.4%	−1.88%	3.5×	Recap →
15 Jan	2.9% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.2%	+1.57%	2.9×	Recap →

2024

Date	Result	BTC first hour1h	× normal hour
11 Dec	2.7% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core +0.3%	+0.32%	0.6×
13 Nov	2.6% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.3%	+1.73%	3.2×	Recap →
10 Oct	2.4% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.3%	−0.20%	0.4×
11 Sep	2.5% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.3%	−0.00%	0.0×
14 Aug	2.9% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.2%	−1.48%	3.2×	Recap →
11 Jul	3.0% y/y · −0.1% m/m · core +0.1%	+0.16%	0.3×
12 Jun	3.3% y/y · 0.0% m/m · core +0.2%	+1.77%	3.8×	Recap →
15 May	3.4% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core +0.3%	+2.59%	5.6×	Recap →
10 Apr	3.5% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.4%	−1.86%	4.0×	Recap →
12 Mar	3.2% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.4%	+0.84%	1.8×
13 Feb	3.1% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core +0.4%	−1.68%	3.2×	Recap →
11 Jan	3.4% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core +0.3%	+1.49%	2.8×	Recap →

2023

Date	Result	BTC first hour1h	× normal hour
12 Dec	3.1% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.3%	−0.30%	0.6×
14 Nov	3.2% y/y · 0.0% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.51%	1.0×
12 Oct	3.7% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.3%	−0.18%	0.4×
13 Sep	3.7% y/y · +0.6% m/m · core +0.3%	−0.35%	0.8×
10 Aug	3.2% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.08%	0.2×
12 Jul	3.0% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.2%	−0.48%	1.0×
13 Jun	4.0% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.4%	−0.42%	0.9×
10 May	4.9% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.4%	+1.45%	3.1×	Recap →
12 Apr	5.0% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.4%	+0.57%	1.2×
14 Mar	6.0% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.5%	+5.03%	10.8×	Recap →
14 Feb	6.4% y/y · +0.5% m/m · core +0.4%	−1.04%	1.9×
12 Jan	6.5% y/y · −0.1% m/m · core +0.3%	−0.12%	0.2×

2022

Date	Result	BTC first hour1h	× normal hour
13 Dec	7.1% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.2%	+1.65%	3.1×	Recap →
10 Nov	7.7% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.3%	+6.67%	12.5×	Recap →
13 Oct	8.2% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.6%	−2.72%	5.8×	Recap →
13 Sep	8.3% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.6%	−5.96%	12.8×	Recap →
10 Aug	8.5% y/y · 0.0% m/m · core +0.3%	+4.56%	9.8×	Recap →
13 Jul	9.1% y/y · +1.3% m/m · core +0.7%	−5.17%	11.1×	Recap →
10 Jun	8.6% y/y · +1.0% m/m · core +0.6%	−2.23%	4.8×	Recap →
11 May	8.3% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core +0.6%	−5.39%	11.6×	Recap →
12 Apr	8.5% y/y · +1.2% m/m · core +0.3%	+0.59%	1.3×
10 Mar	7.9% y/y · +0.8% m/m · core +0.5%	−0.56%	1.1×
10 Feb	7.5% y/y · +0.6% m/m · core +0.6%	−3.06%	5.7×	Recap →
12 Jan	7.0% y/y · +0.5% m/m · core +0.6%	+1.01%	1.9×

2021

Date	Result	BTC first hour1h	× normal hour
10 Dec	6.8% y/y · +0.8% m/m · core +0.5%	+1.21%	2.3×
10 Nov	6.2% y/y · +0.9% m/m · core +0.6%	+2.97%	5.6×	Recap →
13 Oct	5.4% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.05%	0.1×
14 Sep	5.3% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core +0.1%	+1.80%	3.9×	Recap →
11 Aug	5.4% y/y · +0.5% m/m · core +0.3%	+0.98%	2.1×
13 Jul	5.4% y/y · +0.9% m/m · core +0.9%	−0.95%	2.0×
10 Jun	5.0% y/y · +0.6% m/m · core +0.7%	+0.38%	0.8×
12 May	4.2% y/y · +0.8% m/m · core +0.9%	−1.30%	2.8×	Recap →
13 Apr	2.6% y/y · +0.6% m/m · core +0.3%	−0.63%	1.3×
10 Mar	1.7% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.1%	+0.68%	1.3×
10 Feb	1.4% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core 0.0%	−0.40%	0.7×
13 Jan	1.4% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.1%	+1.06%	2.0×

2020

Date	Result	BTC first hour1h	× normal hour
10 Dec	1.2% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.2%	−0.32%	0.6×
12 Nov	1.2% y/y · 0.0% m/m · core 0.0%	+0.25%	0.5×
13 Oct	1.4% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.2%	−0.48%	1.0×
11 Sep	1.3% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.4%	+0.36%	0.8×
12 Aug	1.0% y/y · +0.6% m/m · core +0.6%	+0.04%	0.1×
14 Jul	0.6% y/y · +0.6% m/m · core +0.2%	−0.18%	0.4×
10 Jun	0.1% y/y · −0.1% m/m · core −0.1%	+0.18%	0.4×
12 May	0.3% y/y · −0.8% m/m · core −0.4%	−0.07%	0.2×
10 Apr	1.5% y/y · −0.4% m/m · core −0.1%	−0.29%	0.6×
11 Mar	2.3% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.44%	0.9×
13 Feb	2.5% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.2%	−0.04%	0.1×
14 Jan	2.3% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.1%	+1.74%	3.3×	Recap →

2019

Date	Result	BTC first hour1h	× normal hour
11 Dec	2.1% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.16%	0.3×
13 Nov	1.8% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.39%	0.7×
10 Oct	1.7% y/y · 0.0% m/m · core +0.1%	−0.58%	1.2×
12 Sep	1.7% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.3%	+0.46%	1.0×
13 Aug	1.8% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core +0.3%	−0.88%	1.9×
11 Jul	1.6% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.3%	−0.37%	0.8×
12 Jun	1.8% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.1%	−0.18%	0.4×
10 May	2.0% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core +0.1%	+0.42%	0.9×
10 Apr	1.9% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.1%	+0.32%	0.7×
12 Mar	1.5% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.1%	+0.01%	0.0×
13 Feb	1.6% y/y · 0.0% m/m · core +0.2%	−0.26%	0.5×
11 Jan	1.9% y/y · −0.1% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.36%	0.7×

2018

Date	Result	BTC first hour1h	× normal hour
12 Dec	2.2% y/y · 0.0% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.30%	0.6×
14 Nov	2.5% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core +0.2%	−0.20%	0.4×
11 Oct	2.3% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.1%	+0.17%	0.4×
13 Sep	2.7% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.1%	−0.01%	0.0×
10 Aug	2.9% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.13%	0.3×
12 Jul	2.9% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.2%	−0.13%	0.3×
12 Jun	2.8% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.2%	−1.32%	2.8×	Recap →
10 May	2.5% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.1%	+0.47%	1.0×
11 Apr	2.4% y/y · −0.1% m/m · core +0.2%	+1.11%	2.4×
13 Mar	2.2% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.2%	+1.99%	4.3×	Recap →
14 Feb	2.1% y/y · +0.5% m/m · core +0.3%	−0.63%	1.2×
12 Jan	2.1% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.3%	−1.13%	2.1×

2017

Date	Result	BTC first hour1h	× normal hour
13 Dec	2.2% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.1%	+0.02%	0.0×
15 Nov	2.0% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.2%	+1.41%	2.6×
13 Oct	2.2% y/y · +0.5% m/m · core +0.1%	+0.68%	1.5×
14 Sep	1.9% y/y · +0.4% m/m · core +0.2%	−4.11%	8.8×	Recap →
11 Aug	1.7% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.1%	+0.09%	0.2×
14 Jul	1.6% y/y · 0.0% m/m · core +0.1%	−0.96%	2.1×
14 Jun	1.9% y/y · −0.1% m/m · core +0.1%	−1.11%	2.4×
12 May	2.2% y/y · +0.2% m/m · core +0.1%	+0.08%	0.2×
14 Apr	2.4% y/y · −0.3% m/m · core −0.1%	+0.80%	1.7×
15 Mar	2.7% y/y · +0.1% m/m · core +0.2%	+0.05%	0.1×
15 Feb	2.5% y/y · +0.6% m/m · core +0.3%	−0.02%	0.0×
18 Jan	2.1% y/y · +0.3% m/m · core +0.2%	−1.96%	3.7×	Recap →