Macro Rumble

Know how the market moved last time.

CPI, payrolls and the Fed hit markets up to 3× harder than normal trading. Know the size of the move before it lands: 1,200+ releases since 2017, 12 markets, minute by minute. Free, updated every morning.

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Up nextJust releasedHigh impact

FOMC rate decisionFOMC

Wed 28 Oct 2026, 18:00 UK time (GMT)

BTC move vs a normal hour
1.6×
top-10% hour in 27% of 77 releases
ETH move vs a normal hour
2.1×
top-10% hour in 32% of 72 releases
1 in 4 releases moved BTC more than
1.1%
in the first hour · ETH 1.7%
Biggest first-hour move
4.3%
BTC, 27 Jul 2022 · ETH 5.5%, 27 Jul 2022

77 scheduled releases 2017–2026 · Every past release →

The market's memory for every macro release

CPI drops at 13:30 UK time and Bitcoin moves before you've finished reading the headline. Macro Rumble shows you exactly what happened every previous time: how far each market moved compared with a normal hour, how often it was a top-10% move, and whether the first move stuck or reversed. Every reaction is measured to the minute from the official release time, across 1,200+ releases since 2017.

Built for crypto and macro traders

Whether you trade BTC around FOMC, fade the NFP spike or just want to know when not to be in a position, you get the base rates in seconds: how many times bigger than a normal hour each event moves your market, how often it delivers a top-10% move, and average moves from +5 minutes to a week. Size your positions and time your entries with the base rates in front of you. Then take it to the Lab and backtest your own rules on every past release.

10 events, 12 markets

We track US CPI, FOMC decisions, nonfarm payrolls, PPI, PCE, GDP, retail sales and weekly jobless claims, plus UK CPI and Bank of England decisions. The markets are Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, Litecoin, Dogecoin, Chainlink, Cardano, Bittensor (TAO), BNB, TRON (TRX), Zcash, Hyperliquid (HYPE), GBP/USD, SPY and QQQ, with Treasury yields and the dollar index as context.

Free, no sign-up, updated every morning. Past releases, not a forecast.

Next 4 weeks

Full calendar →
Medium impact

US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays)US PCE · Personal Income and Outlays, September 2026 data

114 scheduled releases 2017–2026 · 114 with BTC data
BTC first 5 min2.0× normalBTC first hour1.1× normal1 in 4 moved BTCover 0.7% in 1hBiggest BTC hour2.3% Aug 2022Biggest moverSPY 1.5×
n=114 releases since 2017 · top-10% hour in 11%
Every past release →
Medium impact

US GDP (advance estimate)US GDP · GDP (Advance Estimate), 3rd Quarter 2026 data

39 scheduled releases 2017–2026 · 39 with BTC data
BTC first 5 min1.9× normalBTC first hour0.9× normal1 in 4 moved BTCover 0.6% in 1hBiggest BTC hour2.7% Apr 2020Biggest moverQQQ 1.7×
n=39 releases since 2017 · top-10% hour in 3%
Every past release →
Low impact

US initial jobless claimsJobless claims

505 scheduled releases 2017–2026 · 505 with BTC data
BTC first 5 min1.6× normalBTC first hour1.1× normal1 in 4 moved BTCover 0.7% in 1hBiggest BTC hour6.7% Nov 2022Biggest moverSPY 1.5×
n=505 releases since 2017 · top-10% hour in 10%
Every past release →
Low impact

Bank of England rate decisionBoE rate decision

78 scheduled releases 2017–2026 · 78 with BTC data
BTC first 5 min1.2× normalBTC first hour1.0× normal1 in 4 moved BTCover 0.6% in 1hBiggest BTC hour2.0% Jun 2021Biggest moverGBP/USD 1.9×
n=78 releases since 2017 · top-10% hour in 12%
Every past release →
Low impact

US initial jobless claimsJobless claims

505 scheduled releases 2017–2026 · 505 with BTC data
BTC first 5 min1.6× normalBTC first hour1.1× normal1 in 4 moved BTCover 0.7% in 1hBiggest BTC hour6.7% Nov 2022Biggest moverSPY 1.5×
n=505 releases since 2017 · top-10% hour in 10%
Every past release →
High impact

US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)US NFP · October 2026 data

117 scheduled releases 2017–2026 · 117 with BTC data
BTC first 5 min3.1× normalBTC first hour1.6× normal1 in 4 moved BTCover 0.8% in 1hBiggest BTC hour3.5% May 2024Biggest moverSOL 2.2×
n=117 releases since 2017 · top-10% hour in 15%
Every past release →
High impact

US Consumer Price Index (CPI)US CPI · October 2026 data

117 scheduled releases 2017–2026 · 117 with BTC data
BTC first 5 min3.3× normalBTC first hour1.4× normal1 in 4 moved BTCover 1.3% in 1hBiggest BTC hour6.7% Nov 2022Biggest moverSOL 2.3×
n=117 releases since 2017 · top-10% hour in 32%
Every past release →
Medium impact

US Producer Price Index (PPI)US PPI · October 2026 data

117 scheduled releases 2017–2026 · 117 with BTC data
BTC first 5 min1.8× normalBTC first hour1.1× normal1 in 4 moved BTCover 0.7% in 1hBiggest BTC hour3.2% Jun 2022Biggest moverSPY 1.5×
n=117 releases since 2017 · top-10% hour in 11%
Every past release →
Low impact

US retail salesUS retail sales

115 scheduled releases 2017–2026 · 115 with BTC data
BTC first 5 min1.5× normalBTC first hour1.3× normal1 in 4 moved BTCover 0.7% in 1hBiggest BTC hour2.9% Dec 2020Biggest moverQQQ 1.3×
n=115 releases since 2017 · top-10% hour in 12%
Every past release →
Low impact

US retail salesUS retail sales

115 scheduled releases 2017–2026 · 115 with BTC data
BTC first 5 min1.5× normalBTC first hour1.3× normal1 in 4 moved BTCover 0.7% in 1hBiggest BTC hour2.9% Dec 2020Biggest moverQQQ 1.3×
n=115 releases since 2017 · top-10% hour in 12%
Every past release →

This week, historically

Seasonality Explorer →

How each coin has done in this calendar week in past years. A base rate, not a forecast.

ISO week 43 (Mon 19 Oct – Sun 25 Oct), Monday open to Sunday close in UTC, Bitstamp spot daily data (USD pairs), every past year available; coins with under 3 years of Bitstamp history are not shown.

BTC 9 yrs
+5.4%
median · up 78% of years
avg +6.3% · this week so far -1.6%
Market page →
ETH 9 yrs
+4.9%
median · up 89% of years
avg +4.5% · this week so far -1.3%
Market page →
XRP 9 yrs
+1.7%
median · up 78% of years
avg +2.2% · this week so far -1.4%
Market page →
SOL 4 yrs
+9.1%
median · up 100% of years
avg +9.2% · this week so far -1.9%
Market page →
ADA 4 yrs
+7.4%
median · up 75% of years
avg +4.9% · this week so far -4.7%
Market page →
DOGE 3 yrs
+5.3%
median · up 100% of years
avg +6.5% · this week so far -1.4%
Market page →
LINK 6 yrs
+8.6%
median · up 83% of years
avg +5.3% · this week so far -2.1%
Market page →
LTC 9 yrs
+2.4%
median · up 78% of years
avg +4.9% · this week so far -3.7%
Market page →